Economists optimistic CPI will remain low despite global uncertainty


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Some economists are optimistic that Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) in South Africa will remain low despite uncertainty around global developments.

Stats SA says inflation held steady at 2.8% in May after rising marginally in April up from 2.7% the previous month.

The food and non-alcoholic beverages category was the only one contributing to the 0.2% monthly increase to the CPI.

Economist Dawie Roodt notes that the overall inflation print has been low for some months now, contributing to a fall in inflation expectations.

“But more importantly perhaps is that, inflation has been around 3% for quite a long period of time now. Now is perhaps the time for the Minister of Finance to reduce the inflation targets and move away from the 3 to 6% band.”

“And don’t even set the inflation target at 4%, but set it at 3%. Now it’s an absolute one. It’s a wonderful opportunity to change the inflation targets, to change it to 3% in line with what the SA Reserve Bank would like to see inflation targets to be,” adds Roodt.