Airlink tribunal hears conflicting opinions on costing of new competitors


Economic experts for the Competition Commission and SA Airlink have disagreed on some aspects related to the calculation of the cost a new competitor would face when entering the market.

The Competition Tribunal in Pretoria is hearing evidence of allegations of excessive and predatory pricing by the airline.

The six-day sitting follows a 2018 investigation by the commission that found the airline had allegedly overcharged its customers.

An economic expert for Airlink explained a key part of how competition is assessed.

Anthony Felet told the tribunal that their approach focuses on what it would actually cost a new airline to enter the market, rather than just looking at the incumbent airline’s expenses.

“And that’s essentially what I’ve sought to do in my capital cost calculations, where I seek rather to take the historical cost of each of the fixed assets. I’d rather start with the current value of those assets, but not new for old. I don’t assume new for old, but rather the condition it has purchased. And that’s, I think, an important distinction.”

Felet argued that any new airline would have to absorb upfront losses when establishing a route; and those losses must be included in the economic cost calculation.

He warned that ignoring them creates an unrealistic picture of how competitive the market really is.

“And I think what Mr. Oprosky, I’m trying to understand his rationale of why he dismisses that value. His thought experiment with regards to the long-run competitive equilibrium is to assume zero barrier entries. Okay, so he says that this is an entry barrier in a perfectly competitive market. Airlines would not incur this upfront expenditure. I think that’s the point he’s trying to make. And I don’t believe that’s a legitimate way of looking at what a notion of competitive price would be.”

The hearings will resume on Thursday.

Competition Tribunal hearing into alleged excessive pricing against SA Airlink: